Environmental shock events – from climate change to pests and diseases – can impact food supply chains, and we need to understand their impact better to help us reduce the risks associated with them. Early warning systems (EWS) have the power to deliver a more informed and integrated view of food supply chains and of systemic environmental risks and issues over the short to long-term.
EWS combine forward-looking assessment tools and processes (e.g. horizon scanning) with traditional decision making tools (e.g. risk assessments) and can be used to engage experts, policy makers, and increasingly citizens, in analysing and interpreting environmental change and its potential impacts. EWS have been developed but there is general consensus that they are not meeting their current potential to provide decision-makers with timely information in a way that enables action.
This PhD looks to develop better early warning competencies for integrated monitoring of disruptive events, including developing an evidence base of effective methods in anticipating the development of, and impacts of, environmental disruptions, and developing a toolkit for embedding EWS process.